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30 Jun 2020

COVID-19’s potential impact on the new mobility ecosystem

Lukas


As part of our guest blog series on thematic investing, MSCI and Lukas Neckermann share their views on Future Mobility. Although public transport and ride sharing services are taking a hit, some areas of the mobility ecosystem could stand to benefit, including micromobility and autonomous delivery.

Mobility-as-a-Service and the COVID-19 shock

Even prior to the COVID-19 crisis, we discussed in our first Thematic Insight1 how the world might be in the midst of the largest transformation in mobility since the advent of the automobile some 120 years ago. Will the current pandemic prove to be a system shock that accelerates the demise of inflexible and unprofitable business models and acts as a catalyst for the growth of more digital and service-oriented businesses in the mobility space? How might industry-wide headwinds affect the new business models and technologies at least in the short-term? 

New industries naturally go through a series of iterations before becoming established. In the first decade of the automobile revolution, the rush to gain a foothold led to a flood of companies producing cars. In 1899 alone, some 60 car manufacturers opened their doors, including Renault, Opel, Fiat, Packard, and the Electric Vehicle Company of New York.2 By the time Henry Ford launched his Model T in 1908, there were 485 different companies producing vehicles in the United States.3

Within the last decade, we have seen a similar dramatic rise of autonomous technology, manufacturing and mobility services companies, fueled by billions in mostly venture capital funding. In California alone, as of May 2020, there were 66 technology companies and manufacturers with permits to test autonomous vehicles.4

A growing database collated by Neckermann Strategic Advisors has over 700 public and private companies involved with different elements of the autonomous Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) value chain. A list that doesn’t yet include all the producers of electric, two-wheeled and public transport that contribute to the full mobility ecosystem.

Read the full Future Mobility insight by MSCI or find out more about MSCI’s thematic indices

Msci

MSCI would like to thank Lukas Neckermann, Managing Director of Neckermann Strategic Advisors, for useful discussions and insightful analysis of this megatrend which have greatly facilitated the preparation of this article.

Lukas Neckermann is the author of three books: “The Mobility Revolution” (2015), “Corporate Mobility Breakthrough 2020” (2017) and “Smart Cities, Smart Mobility: Transforming the Way We Live and Work” (2018).

Watch Lukas’ video on Future Mobility


The view from Lyxor 

Our world is changing. Technological breakthroughs, economic evolution and the climate emergency are reshaping reality for billions of people. Will your portfolio keep up? 

Each of our Thematic ETFs combines human insight, natural language processing and data analysis techniques in a unique way to identify the companies that matter most, and ensure your portfolio stays one step ahead. As a pioneering ETF provider with a history of innovation, we’ve gone the extra mile to build some truly state-of-the art funds for a new state of mind. 

We’re incredibly excited about this range and hope you can join us in preparing portfolios for change.

Find out how you can stay one step ahead with Lyxor’s Thematic ETFs

Relevant ETFs

Target TER for these Thematic ETFs is 0.45% but has temporarily been decreased to 0.15% until September 2021.

1“Future Mobility: Understanding a new transport ecosystem”, MSCI, April 2020.
2James Flink: "The Automobile Age" (1990), via https://www.scaruffi.com/politics/cars.html
3https://www.history.com/topics/inventions/automobiles
4https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/autonomous/permit


MSCI Disclaimer
The information contained herein (the “Information”) may not be reproduced or disseminated in whole or in part without prior written permission from MSCI. The Information may not be used to verify or correct other data, to create indexes, risk models, or analytics, or in connection with issuing, offering, sponsoring, managing or marketing any securities, portfolios, financial products or other investment vehicles. Historical data and analysis should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of any future performance, analysis, forecast or prediction. None of the Information or MSCI index or other product or service constitutes an offer to buy or sell, or a promotion or recommendation of, any security, financial instrument or product or trading strategy. Further, none of the Information or any MSCI index is intended to constitute investment advice or a recommendation to make (or refrain from making) any kind of investment decision and may not be relied on as such. The Information is provided “as is” and the user of the Information assumes the entire risk of any use it may make or permit to be made of the Information. NONE OF MSCI INC. OR ANY OF ITS SUBSIDIARIES OR ITS OR THEIR DIRECT OR INDIRECT SUPPLIERS OR ANY THIRD PARTY INVOLVED IN THE MAKING OR COMPILING OF THE INFORMATION (EACH, AN “MSCI PARTY”) MAKES ANY WARRANTIES OR REPRESENTATIONS AND, TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW, EACH MSCI PARTY HEREBY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING AND TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW, IN NO EVENT SHALL ANY OF THE MSCI PARTIES HAVE ANY LIABILITY REGARDING ANY OF THE INFORMATION FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, PUNITIVE, CONSEQUENTIAL (INCLUDING LOST PROFITS) OR ANY OTHER DAMAGES EVEN IF NOTIFIED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES. The foregoing shall not exclude or limit any liability that may not by applicable law be excluded or limited. 

This article is for informative purposes only, and should not be taken as investment advice. Lyxor ETF does not in any way endorse or promote the companies mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed by Costas Andriopoulos are his own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Lyxor International Asset Management or Societe Generale. Capital at risk. Please read our Risk Warning below.

Risk Warning

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Prior to investing in the product, investors should seek independent financial, tax, accounting and legal advice. It is each investor’s responsibility to ascertain that it is authorised to subscribe, or invest into this product. This document is of a commercial nature and not of a regulatory nature. This material is of a commercial nature and not a regulatory nature. This document does not constitute an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, from Société Générale, Lyxor Asset Management (together with its affiliates, Lyxor AM) or any of their respective subsidiaries to purchase or sell the product referred to herein.

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Lyxor International Asset Management (“LIAM”) or its employees may have or maintain business relationships with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that LIAM and its employees may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Please see appendix at the end of this report for the analyst(s) certification(s), important disclosures and disclaimers. Alternatively, visit our global research disclosure website www.lyxoretf.com/compliance.

Conflicts of interest 

This research contains the views, opinions and recommendations of Lyxor International Asset Management (“LIAM”) Cross Asset and ETF research analysts and/or strategists. To the extent that this research contains trade ideas based on macro views of economic market conditions or relative value, it may differ from the fundamental Cross Asset and ETF Research opinions and recommendations contained in Cross Asset and ETF Research sector or company research reports and from the views and opinions of other departments of LIAM and its affiliates. Lyxor Cross Asset and ETF research analysts and/or strategists routinely consult with LIAM sales and portfolio management personnel regarding market information including, but not limited to, pricing, spread levels and trading activity of ETFs tracking equity, fixed income and commodity indices. Trading desks may trade, or have traded, as principal on the basis of the research analyst(s) views and reports. Lyxor has mandatory research policies and procedures that are reasonably designed to (i) ensure that purported facts in research reports are based on reliable information and (ii) to prevent improper selective or tiered dissemination of research reports. In addition, research analysts receive compensation based, in part, on the quality and accuracy of their analysis, client feedback, competitive factors and LIAM’s total revenues including revenues from management fees and investment advisory fees and distribution fees.

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